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Reserve Bank of Australia Museum. Couple-a-days later, have given up the value of a small car and I just closed out half of it today, so it should ease bit the next few days. US initial jobless claims rose to 895k (est. The US dollar-to-Canadian dollar rate is forecast at 1.3600 at the end of 2021. AUD forecast: Australia may miss out on China boost CIBC remains cautious on the Australian … David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He added that significant fiscal aid and monetary atimulus have boosted the cash flow of households and businesses, directly supporting spending in the economy. When will interest rates go up or be cut? “Inflation is expected to be a little under 2% over 2020 and a little above 2% over 2021.” That puts the Australian economy on track to miss its growth targets for at least two more years — a dismal failure for the RBA which is tasked with keeping it above 2%. If you’re looking to buy a home or refinance your current one, expect mortgage rates to remain low into 2021. Regarding a negative policy rate, members considered that it was extraordinarily unlikely and any further action would involve increased bond purchases. The virus curves in Europe and the US are slowly flattening: But industry is protected by the inventory rebuild: My base case for the AUD over the next 6-9 months now is: [caption id="" align="alignnone" width="660"], A mixed night on risk markets as the Asian, The latest retail sale figures for November have. 15 Year Mortgage Rate forecast for February 2021. Here's the latest foreign exchange rate forecast tables from SocGen for 2020-2021 Pair Forecast data are calculated by making an overall assessment of the economic climate in individual countries and the world economy as a whole, using a combination of model-based analyses and statistical indicator models. DLS – did you work for Mel in a past life? It is the Melbourne housing market that fared worst with another decline in August of 1.2%. phili fed mfg took a dive and will most likey go negative in the next print and unemplyment claims up 3 times this month which looks like a steady trend back up. Note individual client performance will vary based on the amount invested, ethical overlays and the date of purchase. Australia - Interest Rate Data 1.535mn) yet again underscored the strong performance of the housing sector this year. 9, prior 11), with solid growth cited along with increased investment plans for 2021. Even though I called for AUD to be 80-81 by Feb I thought there was a little pullback due and I put on a small CROC trade ( double short AUD ETF) as a lockdown punt. Publish your articles and forecasts in our website. In its latest “Mortgage Finance Forecast” report, issued on July 15, the MBA’s research team predicted that 30-year loans rates would average 3.2% and 3.3% during the last two quarters of 2020. 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